The fundamental law of compounding capital is non-linear: loss percentages require exponentially greater percentage gains merely to restore baseline equity.
The Non-Linear Drawdown Trap
| Portfolio Drawdown | Required Recovery Gain | Compounding Difficulty | Risk Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10% Drawdown | +11.1% | Standard market fluctuation | Healthy Risk Buffer |
| 20% Drawdown | +25.0% | Manageable through position scaling | Normal Correction |
| 33% Drawdown | +50.0% | Requires top-quartile annual performance | Elevated Stress |
| 50% Drawdown | +100.0% (Doubling account) | Extremely improbable without catastrophic leverage | Critical Impairment |
| 90% Drawdown | +900.0% (10x Return) | Practically irrecoverable for institutional traders | Total Ruin |
Determine your statistical probability of hitting maximum drawdown using our Risk of Ruin Calculator.